Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 4 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J4 Matches: 3 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated decisions 3

Total simulated amount 15,00 €

Simulated result -0,45 €

Overall ROI -3,0 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €

Combined odds (information) 8,17

Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

Paris Saint-Germain vs RC Lens — Pick 1 — Result 1 (2 - 0)
AJ Auxerre vs AS Monaco — Pick 2 — Result 2 (1 - 2)
OGC Nice vs FC Nantes — Pick N — Result 1 (1 - 0)

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J4 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

Olympique de Marseille

FC Lorient

Terminé On 12 Sep 2025 at 20:45 Score : 4 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score 1,629

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,30

0,10

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

72,0 %

Possession

28,0 %

93,0 %

Passes reussies

83,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 37/100 / 9/2 / 27/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 51,0 % N 26,6 % 2 22,4 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,300 / 0,470 / 0,730

Raw pick Pas de pari

OGC Nice

FC Nantes

Terminé On 13 Sep 2025 at 17:00 Score : 1 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision N

Associated probability 28,0 %

Related odds 29/10

Weighted score 0,101

Match équilibré : OGC Nice porté par Potentiel (+0,58), FC Nantes par Force Dom/Ext (-0,38).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,80

0,80

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

59,0 %

Possession

41,0 %

86,0 %

Passes reussies

79,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result -5,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 33/50 / 29/10 / 4/1

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 42,6 % N 28,0 % 2 29,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,290 / 0,090 / 0,470

Raw pick N

AJ Auxerre

AS Monaco

Terminé On 13 Sep 2025 at 21:05 Score : 1 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 46,2 %

Related odds 3/5

Weighted score -2,991

AS Monaco favorisé par Potentiel (-1,41).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,70

1,40

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

33,0 %

Possession

67,0 %

71,0 %

Passes reussies

84,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +3,00 €

Match ROI +60,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 39/10 / 67/20 / 3/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 26,3 % N 27,5 % 2 46,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,290 / 0,200 / -0,260

Raw pick 2

LOSC Lille

Toulouse FC

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 15:00 Score : 2 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score 1,251

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,20

0,80

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

70,0 %

Possession

30,0 %

70,0 %

Passes reussies

30,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 77/100 / 57/20 / 13/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 48,9 % N 27,0 % 2 24,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,130 / 0,040 / 0,020

Raw pick Pas de pari

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Le Havre AC

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score 1,185

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,40

0,70

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

49,0 %

Possession

51,0 %

87,0 %

Passes reussies

86,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 29/50 / 16/5 / 43/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 48,6 % N 27,1 % 2 24,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,230 / 0,140 / 0,290

Raw pick Pas de pari

Paris Saint-Germain

RC Lens

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 2 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 75,9 %

Related odds 31/100

Weighted score 7,043

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Potentiel (+5,94).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,10

1,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

68,0 %

Possession

32,0 %

92,0 %

Passes reussies

83,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +1,55 €

Match ROI +31,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 31/100 / 103/20 / 29/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 75,9 % N 17,6 % 2 6,6 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,010 / 0,080 / -0,460

Raw pick 1

FC Metz

Angers SCO

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -0,418

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,70

2,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

55,0 %

Possession

45,0 %

88,0 %

Passes reussies

87,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/10 / 47/20 / 21/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 39,7 % N 28,2 % 2 32,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,090 / -0,060 / 0,000

Raw pick Pas de pari

Stade Brestois

Paris FC

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 2 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score —

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,60

1,60

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

46,0 %

Possession

54,0 %

78,0 %

Passes reussies

83,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 6/5 / 13/5 / 41/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities -

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Stade Rennais FC

Olympique Lyonnais

Terminé On 14 Sep 2025 at 20:45 Score : 3 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -0,875

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,20

1,70

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

48,0 %

Possession

52,0 %

85,0 %

Passes reussies

85,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/5 / 49/20 / 7/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 37,2 % N 28,3 % 2 34,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,040 / -0,020 / -0,170

Raw pick Pas de pari

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Full report J4 02/01/2026

Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J4

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 4

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Le Havre AC (choix 1, résultat 1)
Paris Saint-Germain vs RC Lens (choix 1, résultat 1)

❌ Matchs ratés

Aucun

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient
OGC Nice vs FC Nantes
AJ Auxerre vs AS Monaco
LOSC Lille vs Toulouse FC
FC Metz vs Angers SCO

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée propre et maîtrisée, avec une exposition volontairement limitée.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.