Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 12 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J12 Matches: 6 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 6
Total simulated amount 95,00 €
Simulated result +24,90 €
Overall ROI +26,2 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 7,43
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC — Pick 2 — Result N (1 - 1)
  • RC Strasbourg Alsace vs LOSC Lille — Pick 2 — Result 1 (2 - 0)
  • Olympique Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain — Pick 2 — Result 2 (2 - 3)
Terminé Score : 0 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 41,1 %
Related odds 7/4
Weighted score -2,079

Stade Rennais FC favorisé par xG (-1,57).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
2,00
xG
0,80
16
Tirs
9
4
Tirs cadres
3
Possession
52,0 %
Possession
48,0 %
90,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
9
Fautes
13
4
Cartons jaunes
2
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result +17,50 €
Match ROI +175,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/20 / 23/10 / 7/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 30,8 % N 28,1 % 2 41,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,370 / -0,070 / 0,130
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 3 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision Aucune décision
Associated probability
Related odds
Weighted score

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
3,50
xG
0,70
20
Tirs
6
7
Tirs cadres
2
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
94,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
12
Fautes
10
0
Cartons jaunes
1
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
1
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 8/25 / 67/20 / 51/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities -
Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —
Terminé Score : 1 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision Aucune décision
Associated probability
Related odds
Weighted score 1,130

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
0,90
xG
0,20
15
Tirs
4
4
Tirs cadres
2
Possession
65,0 %
Possession
35,0 %
92,0 %
Passes reussies
87,0 %
Discipline
15
Fautes
13
3
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 22/25 / 2/1 / 5/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 48,3 % N 27,2 % 2 24,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,090 / -0,190 / -0,140
Raw pick Pas de pari
Terminé Score : 1 - 4 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 53,2 %
Related odds 41/20
Weighted score -4,272

RC Lens favorisé par xG (-2,23).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
2,80
xG
3,20
10
Tirs
16
6
Tirs cadres
12
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
90,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
15
Fautes
19
1
Cartons jaunes
2
1
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
2
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result +41,00 €
Match ROI +205,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 43/50 / 51/20 / 41/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 20,7 % N 26,2 % 2 53,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,620 / -0,070 / 0,620
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 1 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 60,0 %
Related odds 23/20
Weighted score -7,843

Toulouse FC favorisé par Forme (Points) (-3,73).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
1,40
xG
1,30
7
Tirs
5
2
Tirs cadres
2
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
89,0 %
Passes reussies
87,0 %
Discipline
6
Fautes
18
0
Cartons jaunes
4
0
Cartons rouges
0
1
Penalties conc.
1
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 37/20 / 41/20 / 23/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 12,7 % N 27,4 % 2 60,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,730 / -0,380 / 0,510
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 2 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 52,7 %
Related odds 9/10
Weighted score -4,180

OGC Nice favorisé par Forme (Points) (-2,77).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
1,60
xG
1,00
9
Tirs
8
2
Tirs cadres
4
Possession
49,0 %
Possession
51,0 %
91,0 %
Passes reussies
91,0 %
Discipline
12
Fautes
19
2
Cartons jaunes
4
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
1
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/10 / 47/20 / 9/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 21,1 % N 26,3 % 2 52,7 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,350 / -0,120 / 0,000
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 2 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision Aucune décision
Associated probability
Related odds
Weighted score -0,742

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
0,70
xG
0,70
7
Tirs
10
5
Tirs cadres
5
Possession
49,0 %
Possession
51,0 %
90,0 %
Passes reussies
92,0 %
Discipline
19
Fautes
14
2
Cartons jaunes
2
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 27/20 / 19/10 / 33/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 37,9 % N 28,3 % 2 33,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,110 / -0,180 / -0,100
Raw pick Pas de pari
Terminé Score : 2 - 0 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 60,0 %
Related odds 6/5
Weighted score -5,659

LOSC Lille favorisé par xG (-2,05).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
1,10
xG
0,30
5
Tirs
6
2
Tirs cadres
4
Possession
42,0 %
Possession
58,0 %
88,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
9
Fautes
20
4
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
1
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 8/5 / 11/5 / 6/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 15,6 % N 24,4 % 2 60,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,600 / -0,230 / 0,330
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 2 - 3 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 60,0 %
Related odds 57/100
Weighted score -11,158

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Forme (Points) (-6,98).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
0,70
xG
1,40
6
Tirs
8
2
Tirs cadres
4
Possession
28,0 %
Possession
72,0 %
85,0 %
Passes reussies
94,0 %
Discipline
10
Fautes
8
6
Cartons jaunes
2
1
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J12 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result +11,40 €
Match ROI +57,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 3/1 / 14/5 / 57/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 8,8 % N 31,2 % 2 60,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,840 / -0,460 / 0,280
Raw pick 2
Full report J12 02/01/2026
Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J12

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 12

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

  • Olympique de Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 (choix 1, résultat 1)
  • AS Monaco vs RC Lens (choix 2, résultat 2)
  • Olympique Lyonnais vs Paris Saint-Germain (choix 2, résultat 2)

❌ Matchs ratés

  • FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC (choix 2, résultat N)
  • RC Strasbourg Alsace vs LOSC Lille (choix 2, résultat 1)

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

  • Le Havre AC vs FC Nantes
  • FC Metz vs OGC Nice
  • Angers SCO vs AJ Auxerre
  • Paris FC vs Stade Rennais FC

💎 Value élevée réussie

  • AS Monaco vs RC Lens (value 0.95)

⚠️ Value élevée échouée

  • FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC (value 0.60)
  • RC Strasbourg Alsace vs LOSC Lille (value 0.23)

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée offensive, avec une excellente value convertie malgré une variance marquée.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.